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September 10, 2010 1:24:27 PM PST

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Articles and Commentary

Gold and Silver are Trading Predictably
By Chris Vermeulen
December 17, 2009

It's been a great week so far. Gold and silver are moving as expected from my weekend trading report. I like to see the market unfold in a calm, collected manner.

The USA dollar has made a nice move in the past couple weeks. Although it has broken out of its down channel I think there is a lot of short covering going on making this bounce more powerful than others. Also it is important to note that it is near resistance which could dampen things around the $77-77.5 level. If the dollar heads back down I expect gold to start making a move back up which it started to do Wednesday.

Below are my thoughts and charts about what I think is unfolding.

Gold
Gold broke down sharply from its trend channel and has settled into a support zone. Wednesday we saw a nice bounce but the question is, is this a rally or a sucker's bounce?

I've found the best setups and moves occur after an ABC retrace. The black lines on the chart show exactly that type of price action. These retraces shake out most short term traders before starting a new rally. There is a thin dotted blue line showing a possible resistance trend line which would need to be broken after the ABC retrace pattern has formed if we want a low risk setup with a sizable win/loss ratio.


Silver
Silver is in the same boat as its big sister, gold. We just need to wait for a high probability setup to present its self before putting any of our hard earned money to work.


Conclusion
Although it's been a quite week in the market, I have really enjoyed it. Not sure if it is related to everything unfolding in a controlled manner or the holiday season nearing, or maybe both?

November and December have been quiet but I know we are on the verge of either a large move up or down in the coming weeks. Let's watch the market and funds unfold and see if we can get another trade or two in before year end.

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TheGoldAndOilGuy.com is owned and run by me (Chris Vermeulen), an individual gold trading specialist. After sharing my gold analysis with friends, traders and financial advisors, I decided to make TheGoldAndOilGuy.com my full time job in 2003. This service was designed from the ground up to help individual traders who want to focus on consistent, accurate and profitable trades. Over the past ten years my strategy has been refined to one golden trading vehicle which has an almost 100% accuracy. The GLD (DGP and DZZ) gold exchange traded funds are now the most accurate trading vehicle I have seen, so it's my vehicle of choice. Members of TheGoldAndOilGuy.com not only get to trade my signals, but see my live trading charts and ask me all the questions they wish. My goal is for all of us to make money and have fun in life.


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