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J&M Coin & Jewellery Ltd.
127 East Broadway
Vancouver, BC, V5T 1W1, Canada
Tel: (604) 876-7181
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Bullion Coins and Bars.com
Articles and Commentary

This page provides assorted current 2012 and 2011 stories and articles relating to precious metals as written by a panel of contributors and by industry and independent investment consultants. Click on the title of the article to read the full story.

See also 2007, 2008, 2009, or 2010 archived articles.

Disclaimer: The views and information provided in these articles and commentaries do not necessarily reflect the views of J&M Coin & Jewellery Ltd. and are provided as a free service to our clients.

  • Gold: A Look Back and a Look Forward
    By Peter Degraaf
    December 13, 2012

    During the last gold bull market gold rose from $35.00 to $850.00 for a 24-fold increase. A similar increase from the low point in 2001 ($260.00) sets up a target of $6,240.00.



  • Time to Buy, Buy, Buy
    By Toby Connor
    November 5, 2012

    We are moving into one of those rare buying opportunities that only come around once or twice a year. One has to ignore the media and nonsense about QE3 not working. It is going to work, and it is going to work extremely well.



  • Some Incredible Gold Charts
    By Peter Degraaf
    October 31, 2012

    Technical Analysis (TA) is a great tool for analyzing where the market has been. Since humans almost always behave in cyclical fashion we can observe patterns in market action that tend to repeat.



  • Silver at Multi-Month High
    By Chris Vermeulen
    September 10, 2012

    Some may wonder why has silver outperformed gold in the past several weeks? The answer goes deeper than just confidence that QE3 is coming soon, but it is still rather a simple one. The sharp rally in silver was fueled largely by short-covering.

  • Don't Look for the Gold Standard to Be Reinstated
    By Chris Vermeulen
    September 6, 2012

    For the first time in over 30 years, talk of a return to the gold standard has become part of mainstream politics in the United States. However, gold bugs holding gold bullion or even those holding gold ETFs shouldn't hold their breath.



  • Gold and Silver Update
    By Peter Degraaf
    July 30, 2012

    According to the USGS the total amount of silver mined in history is about 46 billion ounces. This compares to about 5 billion ounces of gold. This mining ratio is 9 to 1. The current trading ratio is 57 to 1. The ratio is clearly out of whack.

  • Is Gold Ready to Start a Run to All-Time Highs?
    By David A. Banister
    July 26, 2012

    I fully expect gold to continue past the $1900 per ounce area and run to $2300 per ounce or higher ... into the summer of 2013.



  • Gold and Silver Update: Looking Ahead
    By Peter Degraaf
    June 6, 2012

    Fundamentals are supporting the current bull market in the metals as central banks are adding to the money supply at double digit rates. The technical indicators, along with seasonal indicators, are pointing to a resumption of the bull market now that the correction that began in September 2011 has pretty well run its course.



  • Gold and Silver Progress Report
    By Peter Degraaf
    April 17, 2012

    Since the beginning of the current bull market in gold and silver, prices generally rise during April and May. The Gold and Silver Producers ETF (GDX) has reached the Fibonacci 38.2% support level and it is overdue for a rise.



  • Gold and Silver Update
    By Peter Degraaf
    February 27, 2012

    Hyperinflation (inflation at +20%) during my lifetime: Argentina, Austria, Bolivia, Brazil, China, Croatia, Ecuador, France, Germany, Hungary, Indonesia, Iraq, Italy, Mexico, Mozambique, Peru, Poland, Romania, Russia, Turkey, Uruguay, Venezuela, Vietnam, Yugoslavia, Zaire, Zimbabwe. Do still think it won't happen here?

  • The Long-Term Fundamental Case for Gold
    By Chris Vermeulen
    February 22, 2012

    The ECB has broken the rule of law by placing itself as the senior creditor ahead of private creditors, the Greek government is trying to pass retroactive legislation to trap private sector creditors holding out of the PSI, and the leader of Greece was not even elected by the people of Greece -- how much more manipulation and insanity do we need to monitor?



  • Consider It a Buy Signal Whenever You See Gold Trading Below its 200 Day Moving Average!
    By Peter Degraaf
    January 6, 2012

    During the 12 year history of this bull market in gold only about 5% of the time did we see gold trading below its 200DMA and each time it turned out to be a prime buying opportunity.



  • Gold's D-Wave Confirmed
    By Toby Connor
    December 29, 2011

    The combination of the dollar rally out of its three year cycle low, gold's yearly cycle low, and a D-Wave decline are going to produce a very sharp correction in the gold bull market.

  • Gold and Silver on the Verge of a Big Move
    By Chris Vermeulen
    December 21, 2011

    The past few months have been tough for those holding precious metals stocks, PM futures contracts or physical bullion. With silver is trading down 41%, precious metals stocks down 30% and gold 15%. It has people scratching their head. The question everyone keeps asking is 'when can I buy gold and silver?'

  • Gold is on the Verge of Moving into Bubble Phase of the Bull Market
    By Toby Connor
    December 16, 2011

    During a correction of the magnitude we are seeing right now it seems more like the gold bull is dead than on the verge of moving into what I expect will be one of the greatest parabolic moves in history ...



  • Gold Ready to Attack Prior Highs in the $1900s
    By David A. Banister
    November 2, 2011

    With all of the macro-events in Europe changing on an almost daily basis, the whipsaws in both the precious metals and equities markets are difficult to forecast and trade for most investors. However, gold has been moving in defined Fibonacci and wave patterns for ten years now, and has about three years left in a 13 year bull cycle if I'm right.



  • The Bear is about to Sink His Teeth into the Last Holdout Sector
    By Toby Connor
    October 20, 2011

    While I expect to see a great buying opportunity on miners in the next few weeks I doubt it will be a long-term type trade. That probably won't occur until the stock market puts in its final four year cycle low sometime in the fall of next year.

  • Three Reasons Why Some Analysts are Predicting Lower Prices Ahead for Gold and Silver ... but Not Me!
    By Peter Degraaf
    October 18, 2011

    In 1980 the US national debt stood at 930 billion dollars. Gold was briefly priced at $850. Today the national debt (without counting off-budget commitments) is over 13 trillion dollars, or 14 times the 1980 deficit. Gold is priced at $1680 -- barely double the 1980 high! By comparison -- gold is cheap!

  • The Most Important Decision Bernanke Will Ever Make
    By Toby Connor
    October 17, 2011

    If Bernanke makes the wrong decision then gold is on the verge of moving into the bubble phase of the secular bull market. That being said gold should still experience one more move down in the next couple of weeks as the dollar rallies out of its impending daily cycle low.

  • How Gold and Stocks are About to Repeat the 2010 Bottom
    By Chris Vermeulen
    October 17, 2011

    This is a potentially very large opportunity unfolding and there will be several different ways to play this. However, right now I continue to wait for more confirming indicators and for more time to pass before getting any money involved.



  • The D-Wave Begins
    By Toby Connor
    September 26, 2011

    It's taken much longer than I originally expected, but we now have confirmation that gold's D-Wave decline has begun. A D-Wave decline is a normal, regression to the mean, profit-taking event that occurs when gold gets too stretched above the mean. It is not a take down by an anti-gold cartel.

  • Gold and Silver Pullback as Forecast, Now for the Big Opportunity (Part 2)
    By Chris Vermeulen
    September 25, 2011

    The price action we have seen this year for both gold and silver indicate were are just warming up for something really big to happen. It could be a massive parabolic rally to ridiculous new highs in 2012 or it could be a large unwinding of the safe havens as countries sort out their issues and the big money starts moving out of metals and into currencies and stocks.

  • Gold Continues to Correct as Forecast in a Fourth-Wave Pattern
    By David A. Banister
    September 22, 2011

    I've stayed away from either shorting gold or going long gold while I watch and confirm the 4th wave pattern. It's simply the smart way to go knowing that upside will be difficult to obtain and downside risks are high.

  • Are you Ready for the Annual Christmas Rally in Gold and Silver?
    By Peter Degraaf
    September 19, 2011

    During 18 of the last 22 years gold has rallied between USA Labor Day and Christmas. Will the pattern this year follow the historical pattern? My expectation is that gold and silver are right on course.

  • Caution is Warranted
    By Toby Connor
    September 15, 2011

    For those people holding gold or mining stocks your position size needs to be small enough that you don't do serious damage to your account if gold takes out $1705 as that would confirm that a D-wave decline has begun and probably still has another $300 to go.

  • Gold Heading to $2,350 after Fourth-Wave Consolidation
    By David A. Banister
    September 14, 2011

    A triangle pattern serves to let the "economics of the security" catch up with the prior large movement upwards in price. In essence, the crowd behavior pushed the price of gold a bit too high too fast and this consolidation pattern lets the fundamentals catch up to price action.

  • Gold 1980 -- Deja Vu?
    By Willem Weytjens
    September 13, 2011

    Have you ever experienced a deja vu feeling? If you haven't, maybe after reading this post you will. What will happen to silver if gold doubles over the next couple of months? If history is any guide, silver will also rally substantially.

  • Bull Market in Gold Over with Double Top?
    By David Banister
    September 7, 2011

    The reason gold rallied back and touched the old highs and then some was due to the German Court pending decision regarding the constitutionality of backing the Eurozone countries with bailout funds. Today we had a positive decision by the court denying claims that the bailouts were unconstitutional. Had the German Court ruled the other way, we would have seen gold spike to $2000 and the SP 500 and European bourses tank hard.

  • There's a Vault with Gold Somewhere -- but Whose Vault and Whose Gold?
    By Chris Powell
    September 1, 2011

    Reporter Bob Pisani was shown being put in a van whose windows had been covered, being driven around London for a while, being walked through an unidentified room containing pallets of gold bars, and then being handed a bar whose serial number does not appear on the bar list of the inventory claimed by the sponsor of Pisani's mysterious expedition.



  • Gold Sell-Off -- Now What?
    By Willem Weytjens
    August 25, 2011

    If the price would hold around current levels we might see the uptrend resume pretty soon and then this move down was probably a move to shake out the weak hands. After two days of panic selling we can expect sentiment to be headed in the other direction now.

  • Gold on Verge of Major Correction?
    By David Banister
    August 22, 2011

    A major parabolic blow off rise is of course possible, but hedging long positions and or considering shorting gold for the more aggressive players is advised.

  • Are Gold and the S&P 500 Behaving Logically or Irrationally?
    By J. W. Jones
    August 18, 2011

    I do believe we need to see a healthy pullback in gold that works off some of the overbought conditions that are present in the price action. If investors continue to view gold as a safety trade it is obvious that prices could continue higher based on uncertainty coming out of the sovereign debt crisis going on in Europe.

  • Gold and Stocks are About to Move in Opposite Directions -- Get Ready!
    By Chris Vermeulen
    August 17, 2011

    Everyone piled into gold sending it rocketing higher and I feel it has moved too far -- too fast and is ready for a pullback.

  • Bears Yell 'Fire!' in an Empty Theater?
    By David Banister
    August 17, 2011

    This is options expiration week, trading this week is notoriously difficult. The Bear case is crowded, the Bull case is not. I'm leaning bullish as long as I keep seeing this type of confirming price action.

  • The Market Dynamics that Sent Gold Past $1800
    By Sam Kirtley
    August 16, 2011

    There is still significant upside in the medium term for gold prices. We expect gold prices to move significantly higher over coming months, even if currently the yellow metal looks overextended and vulnerable to a correction in the short term.

  • Better Business Bureau Warns that Rip-offs on the Rise as Gold Gains more Ground
    August 9, 2011

    As the price of gold reached a record high Tuesday, the Better Business Bureau warned sellers across B.C. to beware of scammers hoping to rip off people cashing in. [As aired on CTV]



  • Crowd Behavior moves Gold, Silver and the SP 500 ... Not the News!
    By David Banister
    July 20, 2011

    Understanding that the precious metals and broader markets tend to move based on major swings in sentiment from optimistic to pessimistic. The collective psyche of the herd is the most important.

  • Silver Today vs. 2008: Does It Look Familiar?
    By Willem Weytjens
    July 20, 2011

    Back in 2008, silver fell as low as $8 because nearly all financial assets were sold off. A similar move could bring silver back to as low as $13. It looks impossible but you never know with today's banksters.

  • The Coming Correction in Gold and Silver
    By J. W. Jones
    July 19, 2011

    The price action the remainder of this week and next week will be very telling as to the future prices of precious metals. I still like precious metals but both gold and silver are due for a short term pullback.

  • Record Gold Prices - J&M on Global News
    July 18, 2011

    On July 18, 2011, gold traded at over $1,600.00 for the first time in history. Covering this news was Canada's Global News network and their reporter Marissa Thomas visited J&M's Vancouver store to interview the owner, Joseph Iorio, and to investigate the practice of buying and selling gold and silver from the public.

  • Trend Analysis of the US Dollar and Gold
    By Chris Vermeulen
    July 17, 2011

    I am bearish on the dollar for a week or so which should help boost stocks and commodities. After that we could see all investments make some big trend changes if buyers don't step up to the plate to buy.

  • Precious Metals Show Signs of Strength
    By Chris Vermeulen
    July 13, 2011

    Precious metals are now in the spotlight and where investors will be looking to put their money to work over the next couple weeks as the falling dollar directly helps boost their prices.

  • Gold and Silver Update
    By Peter Degraaf
    July 12, 2011

    A good analyst would never tell his subscribers to short gold or silver during a bull market. For one thing it plays into the game plan of the central banks that have a vested interest in keeping prices down. Scaling sell orders into rallies, after scaling in buy orders during a pullback is the perfect way to play a bull market. Anything else borders on greed.



  • Trading Gold and Its Eurozone Crisis Premium
    By Sam Kirtley
    June 28, 2011

    It is important that one understands how the "Eurozone debt crisis premium" impacts the gold market and the ramifications that price movements caused by the changes in this premium have on how one analyses and trades gold.

  • On Gold Bugs!
    By Ian R. Campbell
    June 27, 2011

    Roy-Byrne believes gold and silver both will find new highs going forward, but that won't happen for gold until at least August, and won't happen for silver for as long as 12 months from now. From my perspective all gold and silver future price estimates are nothing more or less than forms of proxies on unstated specific future macro-economic conditions.

  • Gold Headed to $5,000 per Ounce?
    By Willem Weytjens
    June 24, 2011

    The price action in gold from early 2000 until today was similar to the price action from 1968 until April 1979. So what would be a price target for gold, based on the 1981 intraday high of $873 per ounce if the correlation would hold? That's right, $5,000 per ounce.

  • The Bear is Back and This Time it will be Much Worse
    By Toby Connor
    June 16, 2011

    QE is the cause of our problems and more of it isn't going to make things better, it will only make them worse as it will start to spike commodity prices again into a rapidly weakening economy.

  • Gold Could Top Sooner Than Later and Fool Some Bulls
    By David Banister
    June 9, 2011

    You need to be prepared for a coming top in gold, which will be followed by a multi-month correction that most will not see coming. As it stands now, I can't find too many bears on gold anywhere on the planet ... and that is typical of 5 wave tops.

  • Gold
    By Ian R. Campbell
    June 9, 2011

    I see the biggest risk to a continued uptrend in the price of physical gold to be escalated real interest rates in a continued fiat currency world.

  • Investors are Fearful and That Means Higher Prices are Around the Corner
    By Chris Vermeulen
    June 5, 2011

    I feel the dollar will continue to slide lower, both stocks and commodities should have some strength over the next 1-2 months but after that all bets are off and it will be time to re-evaluate things.



  • Gold and Silver Update -- So You Sold Out After Listening to the Top Pickers, Now What Do You Do?
    By Peter Degraaf
    May 31, 2011

    The negative thinkers will soon be telling you that the investment climate for gold and silver during the summer all but guarantees lower prices. The trend during the summer months is for the monetary authorities to continue to destroy the purchasing power of the various monetary units.

  • The U.S. Dollar's Impact on the S&P 500, Gold and Silver
    By J. W. Jones
    May 24, 2011

    The U.S. dollar Index pushed above recent highs on Monday but is experiencing selling pressure today. The selling pressure is being largely dismissed by the S&P 500 but other risk assets such as gold, silver, and oil are benefiting.

  • Where Now for Gold and Silver?
    By David Banister
    May 23, 2011

    What everyone wants to know still is what is next for both Gold and Silver in their bull markets? When dealing with human behavioral patterns, it's as much art as science.

  • The Dollar Bull Monkey Dance -- Will It End Badly with a QE3 Party?
    By David Banister
    May 16, 2011

    Interesting to watch all of the silver and gold bears running out into the streets from their caves beating their chests due to the silver shellacking we just saw. Getting jiggy with the US dollar rally is all the rage right now and stomping on the precious metals bulls is the hot sport.

  • Warning Signs
    By Toby Connor
    May 15, 2011

    Printing money has never been the answer. Every empire in history has tried this approach and not one of them has ever succeeded with it. We won't either.

  • Hi-Yo Silver, Away
    By J. W. Jones
    May 14, 2011

    Last week silver was the focus of incredible price swings which left many licking their wounds and shaking their heads at the trading losses they had incurred.

  • Market Sentiment Reaching Extreme Levels for Gold & SP500
    By Chris Vermeulen
    May 12, 2011

    This week we are seeing fear across the board from traders and investors as they dump their long positions is stocks and commodities. Just in the past two trading sessions alone we have seen extreme overbought conditions and extreme oversold conditions which generally mean another big move is brewing.

  • Transition Complete
    By Toby Connor
    May 12, 2011

    I think the dollar probably put in the three year cycle low last week. Sentiment at the time had reached multi-year lows and as of yesterday the dollar had moved back above the 50 day moving average.

  • COMEX Drops Nepalm Bomb on Silver, What Next for the Precious Metals?
    By David Banister
    May 9, 2011

    Silver has tripped on itself for now, and gold will probably move a tad smoother over the near term, but look for silver to regain it's sprinting abilities this summer-fall and re-take the baton from gold and continue it's out-performance.

  • Parabolic Moves are Only Temporary for Silver and Gold
    By Chris Vermeulen
    May 4, 2011

    The past few weeks we have been seeing the US dollar slide to new lows at an increasing rate. The strong devaluation of the dollar has sent precious metals like silver and gold rocketing higher out of control sending them parabolic!

  • Greatest Profit Potential of the Last Decade
    By Toby Connor
    May 3, 2011

    The coming parabolic move will be significantly more powerful than what happened in 2009 as this will be a final C-wave move. We should easily see a 300- 350 point move in gold and it's anyone's guess as to how far silver rallies during the final parabolic finish. $65 or even $70 isn't out of the question.

  • Understanding Where We Are in the Silver Bull Market
    By David Banister
    May 2, 2011

    I expect silver to correct to the $40 to $42.75 areas based on my Fibonacci work and Elliott Wave views, and after this 4th wave consolidation we will see a surge to as high as $60 per ounce. Any pullbacks in silver should be bought here and same with the silver stocks post haste.

  • The S&P 500 May Hold Clues to the Peak in Gold and Silver
    By J. W. Jones
    May 2, 2011

    I believe that the actions taken by the Federal Reserve for the past 2-3 years are going to result in additional selling pressure in the future for the U.S. dollar which will propel commodity prices and equity futures prices higher than what many will expect.



  • US Dollar, Gold and SP500 Trend Report
    By Chris Vermeulen
    April 27, 2011

    We continue to ride the trend of higher stock and precious metal prices as the US dollar spirals down out of control. The big question is if the Sell In May, and Go Away will take shape or not.

  • Bernanke Bottom or Crash!
    By Toby Connor
    April 27, 2011

    Today will be the 26th day of the current dollar cycle. That cycle typically lasts about 20-25 days. So it's already starting to stretch here.

  • Think Silver Has Gone Parabolic? 1980 was Five Times Faster
    By Sam Kirtley
    April 26, 2011

    Asset price bubbles have occurred since the beginning of financial markets and will continue to do so as long as there remains a marketplace for assets to be traded.

  • Gold and Silver -- What's Driving Their Prices?
    By Ian R. Campbell
    April 21, 2011

    Gold and silver continued making headline news yesterday and this morning, with everyone reading this likely being well aware that both breached, and so far have held above U.S.$1,500 and U.S.$45 respectively. So what are today's gold and silver prices telling us?

  • Gold -- Inflation Hedge?
    By Ian R. Campbell
    April 20, 2011

    I agree that inflation and prospective inflation forecasts are but one factor reflected in the price of physical gold at any given point in time -- and from my perspective is far from the most important factor.

  • Dollar Cycle
    By Toby Connor
    April 20, 2011

    For many months now I've been warning we were going to have a dollar crisis and that dollar crisis would drive the final leg up in gold's ongoing two year C-wave advance. We are now on the verge of the panic selling stage of this three year cycle.

  • Equities Don't Follow the Dollar Index So Hold On!
    By Chris Vermeulen
    April 17, 2011

    I favor the long side for both stocks and commodities but that can change on a dime once the dollar starts to rally. There are many negative factors coming together that give me a negative outlook on stocks and commodities for the next 2-4 months ...

  • The S&P 500, Oil, and Gold will Respond to Price Action in the U.S. Dollar
    By J. W. Jones
    April 17, 2011

    Recent statements from the Federal Reserve chairman and several of his minions believe that we are not experiencing real inflation in the economy. Apparently the Fed does not believe that most Americans need food to eat or gasoline to drive to their jobs, assuming they have one.

  • The Gold:Silver Price Ratio
    By Ian R. Campbell
    April 6, 2011

    The world is a very different place in very many ways from what it was even 15 years ago so I give no weight to predictions based all or in part on what I see today as a meaningless but often-quoted 1:16 ratio.

  • The U.S. Dollar's Impact on Gold, Stocks and Commodities
    By Chris Vermeulen
    April 3, 2011

    I was starting to put on my bullish hat on Friday morning when out of the blue an ugly close has forced me to rethink my position. After viewing a few hundred charts, I have determined that while I am still leaning into higher prices at this point in time, I will not totally rule out a rollover on the S&P 500.

  • Fibonacci Gold
    By John Townsend
    April 3, 2011

    This Fibonacci time data may be an even stronger determinant of significant price turning points than we observed in the previous chart of Fibonacci price data, suggesting that gold does indeed have strong cyclical and seasonal characteristics.



  • It's Time to Get Out!
    By Toby Connor
    March 14, 2011

    As the dollar crisis intensifies Bernanke will be forced to end QE or risk breaking not only the currency but also the bond market. Without an endless supply of fresh money the markets and economy will quickly start to collapse.



  • Golden Fireworks are About to Begin
    By Toby Connor
    February 28, 2011

    The gold bull is now on the verge of launching the most spectacular up leg of this 10 year bull market. This spring we should see the final parabolic rally of the massive C-wave advance that began in April 2009 with a test of the 1980 high at $860.

  • US Dollar on the Edge of the Abyss
    By Toby Connor
    February 17, 2011

    The current intermediate cycle has rolled over and is making lower lows and lower highs. If that happens there is little chance the dollar will be able to hold above the March 2008 lows as the crash down into the three year cycle low begins in earnest.

  • Summer Break
    By Toby Connor
    February 7, 2011

    I will be watching for a sign the dollar cycle has bottomed sometime in April or even as late as early May. At that point one might consider looking for sectors that are extremely stretched above the mean to sell short. Not precious metals though. I never short a bull market.

  • It's Super Gold Sunday!
    By Chris Vermeulen
    February 6, 2011

    I'm an still neutral to bearish on gold, silver and gold stocks. Last week's report showed these same patterns and it takes time for patterns to mature. The market always tends to take longer than we think to start a move.

  • Do I See Lipstick On A Pig? Or Is The Stock Market and Gold Still Going Up?
    By Chris Vermeulen
    February 2, 2011

    The U.S. Federal government has run up significant deficits and the long term debt burden is becoming a drain on Gross Domestic Product. Most economists are discussing the possibility of a major decline in the value of the U.S. dollar . In the short run most traders are not likely expecting the U.S. dollar to rally.

  • Silver Butterfly: An Option Trading Lesson
    By J. W. Jones
    February 1, 2011

    Successful option traders understand the limitations and advantages of the vehicles available to them. The butterfly can deliver outstanding risk/reward scenarios, and the probability of its success is enhanced by understanding the nuances of its use.

  • Gold is Bottoming and Longs are Soon to be Rewarded
    By David Banister
    February 1, 2011

    My more recent forecasts for gold were intermediately bearish from the $1390s area -- however the drop to $1310 fulfills a potential Fibonacci pivot low and investors can begin building long positions.


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